The program of socio-economic development of the Russian. The program of social and economic development of the Russian Federation

REGIONAL ISSUES

V.N. Leksin, B.N. Porfiriev

EVALUATION OF THE PERFORMANCE OF STATE PROGRAMS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA

The article shows the value of performance evaluation government programs due to the increasing use of the software approach in the system government controlled, strategic planning and budgeting at all levels. The problems and opportunities for evaluating the effectiveness of the state programs "Socio-economic development of the Far East and the Baikal region" and "Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone" are considered. Russian Federation for the period up to 2020".

State programs in the system of public administration, strategic planning and budgeting at all levels. The cardinal change in the place and role of the program approach to public administration that took place in Russia several years ago necessitated the evaluation of the effectiveness of programs, which is increasingly becoming an assessment of public administration as a whole.

Even during the first administrative reform, the transition to the so-called "management by results" was declared, which implied a rigid connection between goals and costs for their achievement in all structural divisions executive authorities. This, in turn, meant the mastery of software and design technologies and their constant use in the process of state (federal and regional) and municipal government, therefore, a constant assessment of the effectiveness of the adopted program decisions. Unfortunately, these intentions, confirmed by examples of the foreign practice of such an approach to the organization of public administration that existed at that time, as interest in the most complex innovations of administrative reform declined, were not properly implemented.

The program-target approach in a more rigorous and operational form was implemented in the practice of budget planning. Published (Summer 2012) Government Decree to Improve Efficiency budget spending included as an integral part of the program-target principles of organizing the work of state and municipal executive authorities in connection with the transition to a program structure of budget expenditures. At the same time, such a “result-oriented approach” was associated with all types of budget expenditures (there was even a stable abbreviation for POR - “result-oriented budgeting”). According to experts, the use of program-targeted budgeting would make it possible to more clearly identify the relationship between the expected results and the costs necessary for this and to abandon the preferential distribution of budgetary resources between various federal bodies, despite the fact that the replacement of Art. 179 of the Budget Code of the Russian Federation "Long-term target programs" at Art. "State programs of the Russian Federation, state programs of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation and

1 The article was prepared based on the results of a study carried out with the financial support of the grant of the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 14-38-00009) “Program-targeted management of the integrated development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation” (Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University).

Municipal Programs” is not a name change, but an indication of a fundamentally different technology for the formation and approval of programs, the mandatory annual assessment of the effectiveness of their implementation, etc.

The Government of the Russian Federation, in turn, regulated the methods, procedure for developing, implementing, evaluating the effectiveness of state programs in a number of regulations. However, a comprehensive definition of the place and significance of the program-target approach in state and municipal government is formulated only in the Federal Law "On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation" . In St. 11 of this law, programs are included in the number of mandatory strategic planning documents: “strategic planning documents are developed within the framework of goal setting, forecasting, planning and programming at the federal level, at the level of constituent entities of the Russian Federation and at the level municipalities". At the same time, the strategic planning documents developed at the federal level within the framework of goal-setting according to the sectoral and territorial principle include the strategy for the spatial development of the Russian Federation and the strategy for social economic development macro-regions (the most striking example is the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation), and to the strategic planning documents developed in the framework of planning and programming - the state programs of the Russian Federation. Programming in this law earlier (Article 7, paragraph 7) called “the activities of participants in strategic planning for the development and implementation of state and municipal programs aimed at achieving the goals and priorities of socio-economic development and ensuring national security of the Russian Federation contained in strategic planning documents developed as part of goal-setting”. The latter, according to Art. 3, paragraph 4, the essence is “determination of directions, goals and priorities for socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation”.

In the context of the subject of this article, it is especially significant that the ideology of strategic planning in Law 172-FZ strictly links the development of all state programs with the tasks of “achieving the priorities and goals of socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation”. The latter, in turn, should be preliminarily defined in the strategy of socio-economic development, in sectoral strategic planning documents, in the strategy of spatial development and in the main directions of activity of the Government of the Russian Federation (Article 28).

Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation dated November 11, 2010 No. 1950-r established a unified list of state programs, which is approved by the government of the country. In accordance with the List, 43 state programs of the Russian Federation were to be developed by responsible executors. In 2011, two state programs were approved: "Accessible Environment" and "Information Society". In 2012-2013 37 more state programs were developed and approved. In accordance with the requirements of the Budget Code of the Russian Federation, in 2014 39 state programs were updated and brought into line with the approved parameters federal budget for 2014 and the planned period of 2015-2016. In the same 2014, the state program "Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020" was approved, the first year of implementation of which was determined in 2015. Updating state programs and bringing them in line with the approved parameters of the federal budget for 2015 and the planned period of 2016-2017. were not carried out due to the suspension until January 1, 2016 of the relevant norm of the Budget Code of the Russian Federation.

By mid-2015, the Government of the Russian Federation approved 39 state programs2 grouped in five areas: (1) new quality of life (i.e. development of health care, education, family support and improvement of the quality of life of socially vulnerable groups of the population, development pension system and etc.); (2) innovative development and modernization of the economy (issues of development of industries, science, external economic activity); (3) balanced regional development (regional policy and development of macroregions, interbudgetary relations); (4) ensuring national security (defense capability, state security); (5) an efficient state (management of federal property, management of state finances, development of financial and insurance markets, foreign policy activities, justice). More than 50% of all expenditures are earmarked for the implementation of state programs in the 2016 federal budget. In the budgets of individual regions of the country, the share of program expenditures exceeds 70% and tends to consistently increase.

The concepts of efficiency and effectiveness of state programs and methods for their evaluation. The task of evaluating the effectiveness of government programs is methodologically difficult, which is determined not least by the insufficiently correct identification of the concepts of efficiency and effectiveness in the previously named normative documents Governments of the Russian Federation, which determine the procedure for developing such programs. Thus, in paragraph 15 of Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 588 of August 2, 2010 “On Approval of the Procedure for the Development, Implementation and Evaluation of the Effectiveness of State Programs of the Russian Federation” states: “Evaluation of the planned effectiveness of the state program ... is carried out in order to assess the planned contribution of the results state program in the socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation”. Clause 16 clarifies that “a prerequisite for assessing the planned effectiveness of the state program is the successful (full) implementation of the target indicators and indicators of the state program planned for the period of its implementation, as well as activities within the established time frame.”

It also clarifies that the following are used as the main criteria for the planned effectiveness of the implementation of the state program: “(a) criteria for economic efficiency, taking into account the assessment of the impact of the expected results of the state program on various sectors of the economy of the Russian Federation. Estimates may include both direct (immediate) effects from the implementation of the state program and indirect (external) effects arising in related sectors of the economy of the Russian Federation, and (b) social performance criteria that take into account the expected contribution of the implementation of the state program to social development, the indicators of which cannot be expressed in terms of value.

In an interesting study of the evaluation of the effectiveness of state programs, taking into account the indicated broad normative interpretation of this concept, it is emphasized that “both in the budgetary legislation and in the legislation on strategic planning, we are talking about evaluating the effectiveness of state programs; at the same time, this term is understood quite broadly and includes an assessment of the degree of achievement of the planned results and socio-economic effects from the implementation of the program” . Having thoroughly analyzed the practice of evaluating the effectiveness and efficiency of the implementation of state programs in the Russian Federation, the authors of the study proposed several

2 Approval of state programs: "Development of the pension system for 2017-2025", "Development of the military-industrial complex", "Ensuring the country's defense capability", "Socio-economic development of the Crimean federal district until 2020” was planned at a later date.

boards of its improvement, including, in addition to calculating the degree of achievement of indicators, the feasibility of taking into account their dynamics by calculating the index of the effectiveness of state programs and its correlation with the level of funding. The proposed approaches to the evaluation of government programs were tested on the basis of data on the implementation of government programs in 2014, which made it possible to identify government programs whose implementation meets such a performance criterion as saving budgetary resources with a high degree of achievement of performance indicators. One cannot but agree with the final conclusions of the study under consideration: the mechanism for evaluating the effectiveness of state programs needs to be more focused on taking into account the effectiveness of program implementation and the achievement of final results. This requires both improving the quality of the development of state programs (in particular, ensuring the systematic application of the requirements for the formation of indicators of the effectiveness of their implementation), and adjusting the methodological approaches to the assessment.

It seems that many methodological problems of evaluating the effectiveness of government programs could be solved with a clear separation of the concepts of effectiveness and efficiency in them. We believe that the criteria for the effectiveness of state programs, especially those included in the “balanced regional development” block and designed to have regulatory effects on the state of territorial systems of different scale and status, are not identical to efficiency in its traditional interpretation, which implies the ratio of quantitatively expressed economic effect and the cost of achieving it.

As for the assessment of the effectiveness of the transformation of territorial systems, this is a separate and still little developed plot of economic science due to the diversity of times and difficulties in isolating the actual economic component of changes in the demographic, socio-infrastructural, national-ethnic, natural resource, environmental and other potentials of the territory . Nevertheless, such effectiveness should be necessarily calculated and taken into account, since government programs consist almost entirely of investment projects. To assess their effectiveness (both economic and social), there is a detailed methodological apparatus, which, in particular, is set out in.

The essential differences in the efficiency and effectiveness of government programs were formulated many years ago3, and since then the idea of ​​effectiveness as a special criteria-based form of program evaluation has been repeatedly reproduced in the context of various studies. In this regard, hereinafter, effectiveness is understood solely as the degree of achievement of the set goals (expected results), expressed in quantitative parameters or in another form that allows such an assessment. At the same time, neither the costs of achieving the goal are significant (this should be assessed by cost-effectiveness indicators), nor the qualitative or meaningful assessment of this goal, nor the social, political or other consequences. The criterion is the degree of achievement of the result: fully completed, partially, by so many percent, not achieved. Therefore, a quantitative or extremely specific qualitative expression of goals becomes the main condition for evaluating the effectiveness of state programs as a goal.

3 For example, in a book that has gone through more than ten reprints, in the section “Software mechanisms state regulation territorial development” subsections “Expected result and its price”, “Efficiency” and “Efficiency of programs” are highlighted. The last of them notes: “We interpret the effectiveness of programs, firstly, as a measure of the correspondence of its results to the set goal and, secondly, as the degree of approximation to the latter ... When evaluating the effectiveness of programs according to the second criterion, it is important to correctly express the qualitative quantitative parameters of the program goal, and in a number of cases, the tasks concretizing it” .

controlled regulatory impacts on the state of territorial systems, and clearly fixed parameters of goals and subgoals of programs - the only way to parametrically decompose their overall performance.

The foregoing also determines other fundamental differences between evaluations of the effectiveness of software solutions and evaluations of their effectiveness. Efficiency can be assessed at all stages of the development and implementation of programs, starting from the stage of preliminary justifications for private projects, and effectiveness (in our interpretation of this concept) can only be assessed “after the fact”, comparing the degree of the already begun implementation of the program and its individual tasks (subprograms, projects ). Economic efficiency can be assessed both for individual program projects and (taking into account the admissibility of integral, including ranked estimates) for programs as a whole. The effectiveness of most government programs in general (unless they are programs for the creation of one integral object, for example, a specific transport highway) is extremely difficult to assess due to their multi-purpose nature. In this case, the reliability of the future assessment of the effectiveness of government programs directly depends on the specificity of the formulation of goals and their parametric characteristics. This can be confirmed by comparing the possibilities of assessing the effectiveness of two subject-related state programs developed at about the same time: “Socio-economic development of the Far East and the Baikal region” and “Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020”.

The State Program for the Development of the Far East and the Baikal Region: Possibilities for Performance Evaluation. The Ministry of the Russian Federation for the Development of the Far East is designated as the responsible executor of the first of these programs, and 11 federal executive authorities4 are designated as participants in the program, the expediency of involving them in direct participation in the implementation of the program is beyond doubt. The formulations of the goals, objectives and expected results of the program under consideration in its passport are being consistently specified. Thus, initially it was indicated that the program pursues two main goals: the accelerated development of the Far East and the Baikal region and the improvement of social demographic situation in the Far East and the Baikal region. Evaluation of the achievement of these goals in connection with the use of excessive general concepts"accelerated development" and "improvement" can be quite arbitrary.

The formulation of the objectives of the Program somewhat clarifies this issue: “(1) the development transport accessibility and improving the quality of life in the Far East and the Baikal region through the construction and reconstruction of sites highways regional significance; (2) ensuring the timely and reliable export of goods produced in the Far East, as well as transiting through the territory of the Far East and the Baikal region, by significantly increasing the capacity of railways and developing seaports, and (3) creating a basis for increasing the mobility of the population Far East and the Baikal region through the reconstruction of airports of regional and local significance.

A further approach to evaluating the effectiveness of the program under consideration is the formulation of the expected results (criteria) of its implementation: “(a) eliminate

4 One of them is the Ministry regional development RF - by the beginning of the program was abolished. The rest include: federal agency Marine and River Transport, Ministry of Construction and Housing and Communal Services of the Russian Federation, Federal Air Transport Agency, Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Federal Agency for Railway Transport, Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, Federal Communications Agency, Federal Road Agency, Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation and Federal Agency for Fisheries .

elimination of significant inter-regional disproportions in development on the basis of the outstripping socio-economic development of the macro-region; (b) creating conditions for the growth of the population of the macroregion, improving the overall quality of life; (c) development of industrial and social infrastructure; (d) realizing the potential of economic ties with the countries of the Asia-Pacific region; (e) the development of traditional activities and the formation of prerequisites for creating the core of new high-tech industries in the mining and manufacturing industries; (f) increasing the level of investment activity through the use of all types of resources (public, private, foreign); (g) increase in the volume of investments by the end of the Program by 2.2 times; (h) creating new high-performance jobs, increasing the efficiency of using labor resources; (i) overcoming enclavation processes in the macroregion through the development of transport potential; (j) modernization of social infrastructure, including education, healthcare, housing sector, providing a significant improvement in the quality human capital, standards of quality of life and social security of the population; (k) increase in the population of the macroregion by 2025 to 10.75 million people” .

Each of the listed qualitative criteria for the implementation of the Program can be expressed in quantitative parameters that allow evaluating its effectiveness as the degree to which these parameters are achieved at all stages of its ten-year implementation. In the document under consideration, some of these parameters (which, unfortunately, are rarely found in the practice of state programming) are proposed in a generalized form. Among them (%): GRP growth index (year-on-year); cumulative GRP growth index by 2011; the share of the macro-region in the structure of GRP; share of the macro-region in the structure Russian GDP; the share of manufacturing industries in the structure of the GRP of the macroregion; investment growth index in comparable prices (year-on-year); population as of January 1 (million people); share of the macro-region in the income of the consolidated budget of the Russian Federation. The listed criteria and parameters make it possible to assess the effectiveness of the Program implementation as a whole.

Similar criteria and parameters, i.e., in fact, the expected results of the implementation of the Program, are clearly fixed for each of its subgoals, which makes it possible to evaluate the effectiveness of each component of the Program. Thus, the final results of the sub-goal “development of transport and energy infrastructure to ensure the accelerated development of the Far East and the Baikal region and improve the investment climate in the macroregion” are characterized by the following quantitative parameters: an increase of 681.2 km in the length of roads corresponding to regulatory requirements to the transport-but-operational state; increase in the production capacity of ports by 15.65 million tons; commissioning after reconstruction of 40 airport complexes and landing sites of regional and local airlines; construction of 48 sidings on the Baikal-Amur Railway; increase in cargo turnover at the Eastern range of the Trans-Siberian and Baikal-Amur railways up to 587.6 billion t-km / year.

Fundamentally different in comparison with the above formulations of the expected results of the implementation of the state program for the development of the Far East and the Baikal region is the content of the corresponding wordings recorded in the Passport and in the main text of another state program, “Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020”5.

5 Approved by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of April 21, 2014 No. 366, as amended by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 17, 2014 No. 1393 regarding the replacement of the abolished Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation.

State program for the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation: specifics of performance assessment. The responsible executor of the program is the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, and the participants of the program are the Ministry of the Russian Federation for the Development of the Far East, the Ministry of Transport of the Russian Federation, the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. The goal of the program is to increase the level of socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, and the tasks are to strengthen the coordination of the activities of state authorities in the implementation public policy in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and the organization of monitoring of the socio-economic development of this zone. Such tasks have not yet been set in any state program of Russia and the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.

The program includes the only subprogram "Coordination of the activities of state authorities in the field of socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation." Its goal is “creation of a system for coordinating the activities of state authorities in the implementation of state policy in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation”, and its tasks are “improving the system of statistical monitoring of indicators of socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation; ensuring effective management of public resources and legal regulation in the field of implementation of state policy in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and Information Support State Program".

The above determines the specifics of evaluating the effectiveness of the program as the only one in Russia designed to coordinate the implementation of certain tasks of previously adopted state programs of the Russian Federation - federal target programs of the Russian Federation and activities of the federal targeted investment program - implemented on the territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation6. This is clearly evidenced by the Program Passport: “Target indicators and indicators of the Program are reflected in other state programs of the Russian Federation implemented on the territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation; the composition of the indicators is determined within the framework of the work of the interdepartmental commission for the implementation of state policy in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation after the allocation of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation into a separate object of statistical observation. Nevertheless, it also expresses confidence that “the implementation of the Program, along with the activities envisaged by the sectoral state programs of the Russian Federation and federal target programs in terms of the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, will have a positive impact on ensuring the national security of the country; the growth of its international prestige; socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation” .

Evaluation of the effectiveness of the state program under consideration can either characterize the level of coordination of the implementation of tasks of other programs (an extremely difficult object of evaluation), or give the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation the status of an “object of statistical observation”. In the first case, the evaluation of the effectiveness of the entire complex of "Arctic" tasks and projects contained in the coordinated programs should, first of all, be carried out in relation to these programs themselves, which, however, differ significantly both in content and chronologically.

These are, in particular, the above-mentioned state program "Socio-economic development of the Far East and the Baikal region"; federal target program "Risk Reduction and Mitigation of Consequences emergencies natural and man-made nature in the Russian Federation until 2015" within the framework of the state program of the Russian Federation "Protection of the population and territories from emergencies,

6 The text of the program says: “On the territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, as an integral part of the Russian Federation, all state programs of the Russian Federation operate. At the same time, some state programs pay special attention to the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and highlight state policy measures specific to this territory.

ensuring fire safety and safety of people at water bodies”; federal target programs "Development of the transport system of Russia (2010-2020)" and "Modernization unified system air traffic management of the Russian Federation (2009-2020)" within the framework of the state program of the Russian Federation "Development of the transport system"; federal target program "Development of civil marine engineering for 2009-2016" within the framework of the state program "Development of shipbuilding for 2013-2020". In this regard, we would like to emphasize a set of programs for the development of the social sphere, including the federal target program for the development of education for 2011-2015. within the framework of the state program "Development of Education for 2013-2020" and the federal target program "Culture of Russia (2012-2018)" within the framework of the state program "Development of Culture and Tourism for 2013-2020".

The versatile nature of performance evaluations can be shown by the example of the tasks of only one coordinated as part of the state program "Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020" - namely, the state program "Environmental Protection for 2012-2020". It proposes the organization of complex research in the high-latitude regions of the Arctic, including the drifting stations "North Pole"; research on climate change and its consequences; assessment of the hydrometeorological regime and climatic resources; development of data funds of Roshydromet, its research and expeditionary fleet. It also provides for the functioning of a system of continuous assessment of the negative impact on the Arctic of emissions of harmful (polluting) substances from sources located within and outside the territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation. As part of the reconstruction of the Russian space observation system, it is planned to launch and ensure the continuous operation of a space hydrometeorological system consisting of at least seven satellites (three geostationary meteorological satellites of the Electro series, three polar-orbiting satellites of the Meteor series and an oceanographic satellite), as well as the creation and ensuring the continuous operation of the Arktika space system (including two Molniya-type meteorological satellites in highly elliptical orbits and at least two similar satellites in low polar orbits).

The development of hydrometeorological and heliogeophysical support for activities in the Arctic will be carried out by restoring to the minimum required level of hydrometeorological and heliogeophysical observations that meet the requirements for the accuracy of short-term weather forecasts and warnings of dangerous hydrometeorological phenomena, including with the help of automatic and automated means measurements. In addition, it is required to build and equip with modern equipment seven new large-tonnage vessels (with a displacement of 3-10 thousand tons) to monitor the state and pollution of water areas in the Far Eastern and Arctic regions of Russia, as well as eight new medium-tonnage research vessels (with a displacement of 200-300 r) to perform work federal significance in the Okhotsk, Barents, White Seas and in other water areas. Measures are envisaged to create a database of comprehensive studies of the marine environment, oceans and seas necessary for the implementation of various types of maritime activities in the Russian Federation (navigation along the Northern Sea Route, fishing, the navy and the defense of the country).

Work is planned to eliminate the damage caused by past economic activities on the Franz Josef Land archipelago (collection and removal of barrels, land reclamation). It also provides for the elimination of the consequences of the past economic activity oil and gas complex in the delta of the river. Pechory on the territory of the state natural reserve "Nenets".

All these are program tasks that require performance evaluation in only one direction of the implementation of the state program under consideration “Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020”. At the same time, according to the "Strategy for the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and the provision of

of national security for the period up to 2020”, declared as the initial conceptual document for the development of the program under consideration, a number of areas for the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and ensuring national security are classified as priorities. Among them are the integrated socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation; development of science and technology; creation of a modern information and telecommunications infrastructure; ensuring environmental safety; international cooperation in the Arctic.

The strategy also states that the main mechanisms for its implementation are the Program, other state programs of the Russian Federation, federal and departmental targeted programs, as well as sectoral strategies, regional and municipal programs, programs of large companies that provide for measures aimed at the integrated development of the territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation. Such a mosaic of coordination mechanisms in the state program under consideration, which is a collection of fragments of already adopted programs, is in conflict with the national significance of the Arctic megaproject and significantly limits the effectiveness of the state program.

Both the opportunities and the problems of developing a subject list of program performance criteria are clearly illustrated by its target subsection. At the beginning, it states, for example, that “in accordance with the priorities of state policy in the development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation and taking into account the problems in its socio-economic development, the goal of the Program is to increase the level of socio-economic development of the Arctic zone” . However, there is no generally accepted criterion for the "level of socio-economic development" of regions, and even more so - mega-regions (the most extensive and heterogeneous of them - the approved Arctic zone of the Russian Federation) does not exist. As scientific studies and practical experience prove, neither the growth of GRP, nor the growth of incomes and the increase in life expectancy of the population, and no other single criterion can be considered satisfactory.

In the state program under consideration, it is also proposed to consider that “an increase in the level of socio-economic development” of the Arctic zone will be achieved under the following conditions: “(a) expanding the resource base of this zone to meet the country’s needs for various types strategic raw materials, (b) creating a favorable operational regime in this zone, (c) protecting the natural environment of the Arctic and eliminating the environmental consequences of economic activity in the context of growing economic activity and global climate change, (d) forming a single information space in this zone, (e ) ensuring a high level of fundamental and applied scientific research on the accumulation of knowledge and the creation of modern scientific and geoinformation foundations for the management of the Arctic territories (including the development of tools for solving problems of defense and security, as well as for the reliable functioning of life support systems and production activities in natural and climatic conditions Arctic), (f) ensuring a regime of mutually beneficial bilateral and multilateral cooperation between the Russian Federation and the subarctic states on the basis of international treaties and agreements to which the Russian Federation is a party. At the same time, it is assumed that “the solution of this problem, including by including questions social development Arctic zone in the strategy of long-term socio-economic development federal districts and subjects of the Russian Federation, sectoral strategies and programs, will ensure the acceleration of the socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation.

It is, in principle, necessary to select the quantitative parameters corresponding to the listed target criteria. As shown in our previous publications, the main task should be considered the selection of such parameters that would characterize qualitative changes in the level of socio-economic development. These include: (1) rational, i.e. economically viable and environmentally acceptable removal of any natural resources in conjunction with measures to restore their renewable potential; (2) balance between the places of application of labor and the system of resettlement; (3) real diversification of economic activity, taking into account the development of economically mutually beneficial ties with other territories of the country and foreign countries; (4) real provision of the legally established rights of the indigenous population in the territory of traditional nature management and the rights arising from the ethnic self-identification of representatives of this population; (5) consistency of economic, social and environmental policy measures of federal, regional and municipal authorities authorities in the Arctic zone; (6) the coordinated participation of business structures operating (and intending to operate) in the Arctic zone of Russia in the implementation of the strategy for the integrated development of this zone and (7) the widespread implementation of the principles of integrated development common to the entire Arctic zone in all its territories and the normatively fixed exclusive conditions in individual sectors (regions) of this zone, allocated taking into account the peculiarities of the natural-climatic, territorial, national-ethnic and other nature.

But even these clarifying criteria bases for raising the level of socio-economic development should be supplemented by such important positions as the balance of national and corporate interests; application of the most stringent environmental and environmental standards and the use of efficient resource-saving technologies; rational combination of places permanent residence and temporary stay of people with unconditional provision of modern conditions for their life support and basic social, domestic and cultural needs; organic inclusion of the restored military presence in the overall concept of the integrated development of the Arctic zone; ubiquitous and uninterrupted transport links within this zone and beyond; availability of measures of special state regulation of labor, budgetary-tax, national and other relations.

The proposed procedure for clarifying and “expanding” the approved goals and subgoals of the Program into a system of criteria-based assessments of the effectiveness of its implementation is quite realizable, but this requires a significant adjustment of the Program in the previously indicated areas. This is also necessary in connection with the requirements of the Federal Law of June 28, 2014 No. 172-FZ “On Strategic Planning” (Article 3, paragraph 11), which legally enshrines the “principle of measurable goals”. It implies that “it should be possible to assess the achievement of the goals of socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation using quantitative and (or) qualitative target indicators, criteria and methods for their assessment used in the strategic planning process.”

The State Program for the Development of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation: Performance Evaluation in the Context of Regulatory Impact Potential. When evaluating the effectiveness of the state program under consideration, it should be taken into account that the state of economic structures and territorial systems of this region is affected by almost all regulatory actions of the state. On the legal and economic environment for the functioning of these systems and on the conditions for the formation and operation of social and other institutions in the Arctic zone

Thousands of already adopted and hundreds of new ones adopted annually federal laws, tens of thousands of annually updated regulations of the Government of the Russian Federation and federal executive authorities, regulations of sub-federal and municipal authorities. All of them have the properties of regulatory influences, and it is no coincidence that in recent years a lot of materials have been published, both official and prepared by well-known public organizations, in particular, Delovaya Rossiya, with assessments of the impact of adopted legal documents on the socio-economic situation.

The practice of such assessments was, in particular, regulated by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 17, 2012 No. 1318 “On the procedure for the federal executive authorities to assess the regulatory impact of draft regulatory legal acts, draft amendments to draft federal laws and draft decisions of the Council of the Eurasian Economic Commission, as well as on amendments to some acts of the government of the Russian Federation. According to paragraph 15 of this Decree, a summary report (see) on such an assessment "is formed by the developer using the software of the official website and signed by the head of the structural unit of the federal executive body responsible for preparing the draft act."

At the same time, the report on the draft act, which has a high degree of regulatory impact, must contain information: “a) the degree of regulatory impact of the draft act; b) a description of the problem that the proposed method of regulation is aimed at solving, an assessment of the negative effects arising from the presence of the problem under consideration; c) analysis of international experience in the relevant fields of activity; d) the objectives of the proposed regulation and their compliance with the principles of legal regulation, program documents of the President of the Russian Federation and the Government of the Russian Federation; e) a description of the proposed regulation and other possible ways problem solving; f) the main groups of subjects of entrepreneurial and other economic activity, other interested parties, including public authorities, whose interests will be affected by the proposed legal regulation, an estimate of the number of such subjects; g) new functions, powers, duties and rights of federal executive authorities, state authorities of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation and local governments or information about their change, as well as the procedure for their implementation; h) assessment of the relevant expenditures (possible receipts) of the budgets of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation; i) new benefits, as well as obligations or restrictions for subjects of entrepreneurial and other economic activities, or a change in the content of existing obligations and restrictions, as well as the procedure for organizing their implementation; j) assessment of expenses and incomes of subjects of entrepreneurial and other economic activities related to the need to comply with established obligations or restrictions or with a change in the content of such obligations or restrictions; k) information about the cancellation of obligations, prohibitions or restrictions for subjects

entrepreneurial and other economic activities; l) the risks of solving the problem by the proposed method of regulation and the risks of negative consequences; m) description of methods for monitoring the effectiveness of the chosen method of achieving the goal of regulation; n) necessary to achieve the stated regulatory objectives

7 Subparagraph "k" is set out in a new edition, which entered into force on October 1, 2015 on the basis of Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of January 30, 2015 No. 83. By the same Decree, the summary report for draft acts with an average degree of regulatory impact must contain the information specified in subparagraphs "a" - "k" and "m" - "y", and for draft acts with a low degree of regulatory impact, it must contain the information specified in subparagraphs "a", "b", "d" - "e", "m", "o" and "r" - "y" (See).

organizational, technical, methodological, informational and other measures; o) indicative indicators, monitoring programs and other methods (methods) for assessing the achievement of the stated regulatory goals; p) the expected date of entry into force of the draft act, the need to establish transitional provisions (transitional period), as well as an experiment; c) information on the placement of the notice, the timing of the submission of proposals in connection with such placement, the persons who submitted the proposals, and the structural divisions of the developer who considered them; r) information on the conduct of an independent anti-corruption expertise of the draft act; s) other information that, in the opinion of the developer, makes it possible to assess the validity of the proposed regulation” .

All measures of regulatory influence of federal, regional and municipal authorities on the state of territorial systems different levels as tools in fact regional policy are applied only after the adoption of certain normative acts, but practically none of them goes through the above procedure. The list of the most common measures includes about two dozen items, which can be conditionally divided as follows5:

1) in terms of the scale of regulatory impact on territorial systems - into three groups: group A affects specific components and connections of the territorial system; group B - on the structure of such a system as a whole; group B - for the type of territorial system;

2) according to the nature of the regulatory impact - into two groups: (a) common and (b) exclusive, focused on a specific territorial system;

3) by the duration of the regulatory impact - into (1) one-time, (2) periodic and (3) long-term (permanent action).

An analysis of the features of various regulatory measures using the proposed classification of their impact on the state of economic entities and territorial systems in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation makes it possible to obtain important typological characteristics necessary to solve the problems of socio-economic development of the Arctic. In particular, interbudgetary subsidizing can be represented as a set of measures of regulatory impact, integrating the types of impacts with the indices of groups A, a, 1 or A, a, 2 (in symbolic form, respectively, TLAa1 or IA>a>2); change in the distribution of taxes between the levels of the budget system - in the form of ТЯА1а2; ensuring direct investment in the construction of a large production facility depending on the scale of the system - TLA,b or TLBb; making decisions and allocating funds for the development of the domestic market of the Arctic territories - TLBb; allocation and development of investments in the diversification of the economy of the Arctic single-industry city - TLB, b, 3 or TLv, b, 3; development of intra- and inter-regional transport infrastructure Arctic zone - TLBb3; change in the organizational and legal status of the Arctic territories - TLBb3; implementation of the rehabilitation program for the Arctic depressive territories - TLBb3 or - TNBb3, etc.

It is significant that of the 19 analyzed measures of regulatory impact on the economic and social objects of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, only three did not have a long-term impact on their condition, and only four - on the entire territorial system as a whole. At the same time, the degree of impact on the state of objects of program and other regulation differed several times due to the nature of the measure used and the features of the mentioned objects.

5 Designations A, B and C; (a) and (b); (1), (2) and (3) - indices of the corresponding types of measures.

This allows us to distinguish the following main types of transformation of economic structures and territorial systems in the Russian Arctic according to the criterion of their “sensitivity” (reaction) to specific regulatory influences: fully managed, partially managed and unmanaged. At the same time, the degree of controllability of each of these structures and systems may vary depending on certain regulatory influences, therefore, the assignment of these systems and structures to one of the above types of transformation is possible only on the basis of taking into account all available measures of regulatory influences and their results. The institutional economic and legal analysis of the forms of regulation of regional development, as well as the diagnosis of gaps and contradictions in legislation in this area are set out in a collective monograph by leading Russian experts. In it, the method for assessing the regulatory impact of legal acts is refined on the basis of the use of criteria for the implementation of procedures for the development and adoption of managerial decisions.

Ideally, the goal of program and other regulatory actions should be to bring the problematic (internally unbalanced) territorial system of the Arctic into a mode of supported stable functioning. Naturally, for certain types of economic structures, territorial systems and their actual state, the ways to achieve stability are different. Consequently, the measures of regulatory impact should also differ, taking into account their possible effectiveness in the conditions of the anomalously dispersed type of settlement characteristic of the Russian Arctic, Arctic single-industry towns, specially protected territories, areas of new industrial development, territories densely populated by indigenous peoples, etc.

In the practice of modern public administration, the goals of bringing problematic (internally unbalanced) economic structures and territorial systems into a mode of stable functioning or maintaining them in this mode are rarely declared, and the directions for using certain regulatory measures are most often called as goals. Such, for example, are the targeted justifications for all measures without exception in the system of interbudgetary relations, programs to reduce unemployment, etc. The same applies to government decisions regarding the transformation of the state of territorial megasystems, for example, the Far East and the Baikal region or the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation.

At the same time, achieving the desired performance is initially complicated by several circumstances: the subjective factor in decision-making, the a priori expected high performance of regulatory actions; poor choice of institutions for the implementation of such impacts; sluggish response of key participants in the implementation of program solutions to the proposed regulatory impulses; lack of long-term state interest in regulatory innovations. This can significantly distort the effectiveness of the adopted program "Socio-economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020" and determines the need to assess its implementation, taking into account the circumstances considered.

Literature

1. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of October 24, 2005 No. 1789-r “On approval of the “Concept of administrative reform in the Russian Federation in 2006-2008””. http://base.garant.ru/188767/

2. Leksin V.N., Leksin I.V., Chuchelina N.N. The quality of state municipal government and administrative reform. Moscow: Europroject, 2006.

3. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of June 30, 2010 No. 1101-r "Approval of the program of the Government of the Russian Federation to improve the efficiency of budget expenditures for the period up to 2012 and the action plan for its implementation in 2010" http://www.garant.rU/products/ipo/prime/doc/6639347/#ixzz3uPDEXkXG

4. Savelyeva Yu.V., Savelyeva M.Yu. The concept of program budgeting: problems and prospects for implementation // Management economic systems. 2014. No. 11. P. 33.

5. Gubanova E. E. Program budget: regional level// Topical issues economic sciences: Materials II Intern. scientific conf. (Ufa, April 2013). Ufa: Summer, 2013, pp. 101-103.

6. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 588 of August 2, 2010 “On Approval of the Procedure for the Development, Implementation and Evaluation of the Effectiveness of State Programs of the Russian Federation” (as amended on July 17, 2015). http://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/70485826/

7. Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation dated November 20, 2013 No. 690 “On Approval Guidelines for the development and implementation of state programs of the Russian Federation”. http://www.rg.ru/2014/04/04/metodika-site-dok.html

8. Federal Law of June 28 71.0418oz. No. 172-FZ "On strategic planning in the Russian Federation". SZRF dated June 30, 2014 No. 26 (Part I) Art. 3378.

9. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of November 11, 2010 No. 1950-r (as amended on November 2, 2015) “On approval of the list of state programs of the Russian Federation”. SZ RF. 11/22/2010. No. 47. Art. 6166.

10. http://minfin.ru/ru/document/?id_4=64713&area_id=4&page_id=2104&popup=Y#ixzz3uVCwkxNT

11. Yuzhakov V., Dobrolyubova E., Aleksandrov O. How to evaluate the effectiveness of state programs: questions of methodology // Economic policy. 2015. №6. pp. 79-98.

12. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Problems and prospects of using the project approach in managing the development of the Russian Arctic // MIR (Modernization, Innovation, Development). 2015. Volume 6. No. 4 (24). pp. 10-19.

13. Vilensky P.L., Livshits V.N., Smolyak S.A. Evaluation of the effectiveness of investment projects: theory and practice. 5th ed. Moscow: PolyPrintService, 2015. 1300 p.

14. Leksin V.N., Shvetsov A.N. State and regions. Theory and practice of state development of territorial development / / M .: URSS, 1997. P. 372.

15. http://minvostokrazvitia.ru/upload/iblock/b0e/gp_mvr_visual.pdf

16. http://www.rg.ru/2014/04/24/arktika-site-dok.html

17. Ivanter V.V., Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Arctic megaproject in the system of state interests and public administration // Problem analysis and state management design. 2014. No. 6. S. 6-24.

18. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Re-development of the Russian Arctic: issues of methodology and organization // Russian Economic Journal. 2015. No. 2. S. 84-104.

19. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Methodological foundations of system diagnostics of the current situation and problems in the Arctic zone of Russia // Problem analysis and state management design. 2015. No. 2. S. 47-59.

20. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Re-development of the Russian Arctic as a subject of systematic research of state program-target management: questions of methodology // Economics of the region. 2015. No. 4. S. 9-20.

21. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. New arrangement of the Arctic: a challenge and a socio-economic resource of the future of Russia // Problems of theory and practice of management. 2015. No. 6. S. 54-60.

22. Leksin V.N., Porfiriev B.N. Scientific and institutional potential of the integrated development of the Russian Arctic in the medium and long term // Problems of Forecasting. 2015. No. 6. S. 58-66.

23. Frolov I.E. Development of the Russian zone of the Arctic: problems of reconstruction of transport and military infrastructure//Problems of forecasting. 2015. No. 6. S. 67-74.

24. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 17, 2012 No. 1318 “On the procedure for the federal executive authorities to assess the regulatory impact of draft regulatory legal acts, draft amendments to draft federal laws and draft decisions of the Council of the Eurasian Economic Commission, as well as on amendments to certain acts of the government of the Russian Federation. http://base.consultant.ru/cons/cgi/online.cgi?req=doc;base=LAW;n=187957;

fld=134;dst=1000000001.0;rnd=0.24161056661978364

25. Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated May 27, 2013 No. 290 “On approval of the form of a consolidated report on the regulatory impact assessment, the form of the conclusion on the regulatory impact assessment, the methodology for assessing the regulatory impact”. http://economy.gov.ru/minec/activity/sections/ria/info/lib/doc20130527_08

26. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of January 30, 2015 No. 83 "On the assessment of the actual impact of regulatory legal acts, as well as on amendments to some acts of the Government of the Russian Federation (as amended and supplemented)". http://base.garant.ru/70858444/#block_200921#ixzz3x76twRoC

27. Kazantsev N.M., Bukhvald E.M., Bakhtizin A.R. and others. Economic and legal institutions for regulating the regional development of the Russian Federation / Ed. N.M. Kazantsev. M.: Institute of Legislation and Comparative Law under the Government of the Russian Federation. CJSC Grif and K, 2013. 468 p.

On the present stage development of a market economy in the public administration system for the integrated development of the country, a significant role is played by state forecasting and the development of programs for the socio-economic development of the territory.
State forecasting of socio-economic development is a system of scientifically based ideas about the directions of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, based on the laws of market economy. The results of forecasting are used by the legislative and executive authorities when making decisions in the field of the state's socio-economic policy.
The concept of socio-economic development is a system of ideas about the strategic goals and priorities of the state's socio-economic policy, the most important directions and means of realizing these goals.
The Program for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation is a complex system of target guidelines for the socio-economic development of the country and effective ways and means planned by the state to achieve these targets.
Forecasts of socio-economic development are developed on the basis of a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation, scientific and technical potential accumulated national wealth, social structure, the external position of the Russian Federation, the state of natural resources and the prospects for changes in these factors.
Forecasts of socio-economic development are developed for the country as a whole, for individual economic complexes and sectors of the economy, and for regions. A separate forecast is made for the development of the public sector of the economy. Forecasts are developed in several versions, taking into account the probabilistic impact of internal and external political, economic and other factors.
Forecasts include quantitative indicators and qualitative characteristics of the development of the macroeconomic situation, economic structure, scientific and technological development, foreign policy activities, production and consumption dynamics, the level and quality of life, environmental situation, social structure, as well as education, health and social security population.
The Government of the Russian Federation ensures the development of state forecasts for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long, medium and short term.
The forecast of socio-economic development for the long term is developed once every five years for a ten-year period. On the basis of this type of forecast, the Government of the Russian Federation organizes the development of a concept of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term, which specifies the options for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, determines the possible goals of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, ways and means to achieve these goals.
The procedure for developing a forecast of socio-economic development and the procedure for developing a concept for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.
These forecasts of socio-economic development and the concept of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are subject to mandatory publication.
In order to ensure the continuity of the socio-economic policy of the state, the data of the forecast of socio-economic development and the concept of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are used in the development of forecasts of socio-economic development and programs for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term.
The forecast of socio-economic development for the medium term is developed for a period of three to five years and is adjusted annually.
The procedure for developing a forecast of socio-economic development for the medium term is determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.
The first message after taking office of the President of the Russian Federation, with which he addresses the Federal Assembly, contains a special section devoted to the concept of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term. This section of the message of the President of the Russian Federation characterizes the state of the economy of the Russian Federation, formulates and substantiates the strategic goals and priorities of the state's socio-economic policy, directions for the implementation of these goals, the most important tasks to be solved at the federal level, provides the most important target macroeconomic indicators that characterize the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation. federation in the medium term.
The Government of the Russian Federation is developing a program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term based on the provisions contained in the message of the President of the Russian Federation.
The procedure for developing a program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term is also determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.
The program of socio-economic development of the country for the medium term should reflect:
1) assessment of the results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the previous period and a description of the state of the economy of the Russian Federation;
2) the concept of the program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term;
3) macro economic policy;
4) institutional transformations;
5) investment and structural policy;
6) agricultural policy;
7) environmental policy;
8) social policy;
9) regional economic policy;
10) foreign economic policy.
The program of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term is officially submitted by the Government of the Russian Federation to the Federation Council and the State Duma, where it must be approved.
The forecast of socio-economic development for the short term is developed annually.
The annual message of the President of the Russian Federation, with which he addresses the Federal Assembly, contains a special section devoted to the analysis of the implementation of the program of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term and the refinement of this program with the allocation of tasks for the coming year.
The Government of the Russian Federation, simultaneously with the submission of the draft federal budget, submits to the State Duma the following documents and materials:
1) the results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the past period of the current year;
2) forecast of socio-economic development for the coming year;
3) project summary financial balance on the territory of the Russian Federation;
4) a list of the main socio-economic problems (tasks) to be solved by the policy of the Government of the Russian Federation in the coming year;
5) a list of federal targeted programs scheduled for financing from the federal budget for the coming year;
6) the list and volumes of supplies of products for federal state needs according to the enlarged nomenclature;
7) planned projects for the development of the public sector of the economy.
The Government of the Russian Federation shall submit, if necessary, draft federal laws providing for measures to implement the tasks of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the coming year.
The list of federal targeted programs includes:
1) a brief description of each of the federal targeted programs adopted for implementation, including an indication of the goals, main stages and deadlines for their implementation;
2) the results of the implementation of the main stages for the transitional federal targeted programs;
3) the required amount of funding for each of the federal targeted programs adopted for implementation in general and by year, indicating the sources of funding;
4) the volume of financing of federal targeted programs at the expense of the federal budget in the coming year;
5) state customers of programs.
Planned projections for the development of the state sector of the economy include indicators of its functioning and development, receipt and use of income from the disposal of state property, an assessment of the efficiency of the use of federal property and blocks of shares, as well as a program to improve the efficiency of the use of federal property.
The procedure for considering submitted documents and materials is determined by the State Duma when discussing the draft federal budget for the coming year.
The results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the previous year are submitted by the Government of the Russian Federation to the Federation Council and the State Duma no later than February of the current year and are subject to publication.
Government of the Russian Federation and central bank The Russian Federation provides monthly monitoring of the state of the economy of the Russian Federation and publishes information and statistical data on the socio-economic situation of the Russian Federation.

"...3. The program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation is a comprehensive system of target guidelines for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation and effective ways and means planned by the state to achieve these targets ..."

A source:

Federal Law No. 115-FZ of July 20, 1995 (as amended on July 9, 1999) "On State Forecasting and Programs for the Social and Economic Development of the Russian Federation"

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Lecture #22

Symbolic constant definition directive

An example of using preprocessor directives

Preprocessor directives

Namespace

Attributes

Attributes is additional information about the elements of the program, including assembly metadata that can be retrieved at runtime. Attributes can be standard or custom. All attributes are described in square brackets before the member of the class to which they apply. For instance:

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o grouping names provided by the assembly for the use of other modules.

There is practically no preprocessor in the C# language, however, some directives have been transferred to this language from the C ++ language.

Preprocessor- this is a preliminary stage of compilation, which forms the final version of the program text.

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Directives are mainly used in the C# language. conditional compilation.

//#define var 1 //Define character constants named var 1 and var 2

namespace consoleApplication1

static void f()(Console.WriteLine("Example1");)

static void f()(Console.WriteLine("Example2");)

public void func() ( f(); )

When compiling this program, you can comment out one of the defined symbolic constants, and depending on which variable is defined, such an implementation of the f() method will participate in the compilation.

At the present stage of development of the market economy in the system of public administration for the integrated development of the country, a significant role is played by state forecasting and the development of programs for the socio-economic development of the territory.

State forecasting of socio-economic development is a system of scientifically based ideas about the directions of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, based on the laws of market economy. The results of forecasting are used by the legislative and executive authorities when making decisions in the field of the state's socio-economic policy.



The concept of socio-economic development is a system of ideas about the strategic goals and priorities of the state's socio-economic policy, the most important directions and means of realizing these goals.

The Program for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation is a complex system of target guidelines for the socio-economic development of the country and effective ways and means planned by the state to achieve these targets.

Forecasts of socio-economic development are developed on the basis of a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation, scientific and technical potential, accumulated national wealth, social structure, the external position of the Russian Federation, the state of natural resources and the prospects for changes in these factors.

Forecasts of socio-economic development are developed for the country as a whole, for individual economic complexes and sectors of the economy, and for regions. A separate forecast is made for the development of the public sector of the economy. Forecasts are developed in several versions, taking into account the probabilistic impact of internal and external political, economic and other factors.

Forecasts include quantitative indicators and qualitative characteristics of the development of the macroeconomic situation, economic structure, scientific and technological development, foreign policy activities, production and consumption dynamics, level and quality of life, environmental situation, social structure, as well as education, healthcare and social security systems of the population .

The Government of the Russian Federation ensures the development of state forecasts for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long-term, medium-term and short-term prospects.

The forecast of socio-economic development for the long term is developed once every five years for a ten-year period. On the basis of this type of forecast, the Government of the Russian Federation organizes the development of a concept of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term, which specifies the options for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, determines the possible goals of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, ways and means to achieve these goals.

The procedure for developing a forecast of socio-economic development and the procedure for developing a concept for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.

These forecasts of socio-economic development and the concept of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are subject to mandatory publication.

In order to ensure the continuity of the socio-economic policy of the state, the data of the forecast of socio-economic development and the concept of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the long term are used in the development of forecasts of socio-economic development and programs for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term.

The forecast of socio-economic development for the medium term is developed for a period of three to five years and is adjusted annually.

The procedure for developing a forecast of socio-economic development for the medium term is determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.

The first message after taking office of the President of the Russian Federation, with which he addresses the Federal Assembly, contains a special section devoted to the concept of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term. This section of the message of the President of the Russian Federation characterizes the state of the economy of the Russian Federation, formulates and substantiates the strategic goals and priorities of the state's socio-economic policy, directions for the implementation of these goals, the most important tasks to be solved at the federal level, provides the most important target macroeconomic indicators that characterize the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term.

The Government of the Russian Federation is developing a program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term based on the provisions contained in the message of the President of the Russian Federation.

The procedure for developing a program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term is also determined by the Government of the Russian Federation.

The program of socio-economic development of the country for the medium term should reflect:

1) assessment of the results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the previous period and a description of the state of the economy of the Russian Federation;

2) the concept of the program for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the medium term;

3) macroeconomic policy;

4) institutional transformations;

5) investment and structural policy;

6) agricultural policy;

7) environmental policy;

8) social policy;

9) regional economic policy;

10) foreign economic policy.

The program of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term is officially submitted by the Government of the Russian Federation to the Federation Council and the State Duma, where it must be approved.

The forecast of socio-economic development for the short term is developed annually.

The annual message of the President of the Russian Federation, with which he addresses the Federal Assembly, contains a special section devoted to the analysis of the implementation of the program of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term and the refinement of this program with the allocation of tasks for the coming year.

Simultaneously with the submission of the draft federal budget, the Government of the Russian Federation shall submit to the State Duma the following documents and materials:

the results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the past period of the current year;

socio-economic development forecast for the coming year;

draft consolidated financial balance for the territory of the Russian Federation;

a list of the main socio-economic problems (tasks) to be solved by the policy of the Government of the Russian Federation in the coming year;

a list of federal targeted programs scheduled for financing from the federal budget for the coming year;

the list and volumes of supplies of products for federal state needs according to the enlarged nomenclature;

7) planned projects for the development of the public sector of the economy.
The Government of the Russian Federation submits, if necessary, draft federal

laws providing for measures to implement the tasks of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the coming year.

The list of federal targeted programs includes:

1) a brief description of each of the federal target programs adopted for implementation, including an indication of the goals, main stages and deadlines for their implementation;

the results of the implementation of the main stages for the transitional federal targeted programs;

the required amount of funding for each of the federal targeted programs adopted for implementation in general and by year, indicating the sources of funding;

volumes of financing of federal targeted programs at the expense of the federal budget in the coming year;

5) state customers of programs.
Planned projections for the development of the public sector of the economy include indicators

its functioning and development, receipt and use of income from the disposal of state property, evaluation of the effectiveness of the use of federal property and blocks of shares, as well as a program to improve the efficiency of the use of federal property.

The procedure for considering submitted documents and materials is determined by the State Duma when discussing the draft federal budget for the coming year.

The results of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the previous year are submitted by the Government of the Russian Federation to the Federation Council and the State Duma no later than February of the current year and are subject to publication.

The Government of the Russian Federation and the Central Bank of the Russian Federation provide monthly monitoring of the state of the economy of the Russian Federation and publish information and statistical data on the socio-economic situation in the Russian Federation.